# | Team | Δ | Record | Comment | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1. | Chiefs | -- | 12-1 | The Dolphins gave the Chiefs all they could handle in the first quarter of Sunday's game, but the Chiefs once again proved that when they are focused, they are the most dangerous team in the NFL. Travis Kelce, the NFL's leading receiver currently, had another monster game showing why he's a future hall of famer. However, after having five 10+ point wins in the first eight weeks of the season, the Chiefs last five wins have all been won by one score. Will this trend ultimately matter come playoff time? It's hard to argue with results, as the Chiefs 12-1 record is the best record through 13 games in franchise history. The ultimate barometer for the Chiefs is this week as they travel to play the Saints, hopefully with Drew Brees. Many questions will be answered in this clash of two top five teams. | |
2. | Packers | +2 | 10-3 | There always seems to be one Lions-Packer game a year that ends up being some kind of adventure. Rodgers and Adams were as good as ever but the Lions kept on lingering throughout the game. Mason "Silver Fox" Crosby nailed an insurance 58 yard field goal with 3:30 to play and made a touchdown-saving tackle on the immediate kickoff. Aside from Crosby, the special teams really leave a lot to be desired, especially after the hands team almost allowed a onside kick recovery (c'mon y'all I don't need Bostic flashbacks). Packers officially won the division game and are now the projected 1 seed, which is pretty neat ngl. Onto a Saturday game I guess? | |
3. | Bills | +2 | 10-3 | For a team that was searching desperately in 2019 for a signature win, the 2020 Bills have found them everywhere they turn. This team has had one of the toughest schedules in the league, but except for a couple games they've shown up every time they've had to. This is the second-best team in the conference. The Bills bandwagons are circling now. Josh Allen's extending his baseball glove-sized hand. He says "get in nerds, we're goin' to the Super Bowl." | |
4. | Saints | -1 | 10-3 | This loss = Hurts. Dennis Allen seemingly had no answers for the rookie QB and then Miles Sanders piled on as well. "All the things we didn't want to allow happen, happened in that game." This was Sean Payton's post-game assessment and it's fair. Taysom Hill had an acceptable statline but it hides how sloppy he looked on the field. The defense struggled with its assignment to contain Hurts and keep him from getting outside the pocket - a worrying sign considering the next QB on the schedule. | |
5. | Steelers | -3 | 11-2 | The Steelers schedule has been insane. 6 days between NYG and DEN. 14 days between HOU and PHI. 10 days between JAX and BAL. But with that BAL game, the Steelers played them, WFT and BUF in 12 days. 3 games in 12 days. The team is out of LBs and OL. This has been a challenging season for everyone, but this is unprecedented. The Steelers have 8 days until CIN, then 6 days until IND. 10 out of 16 games played with an irregular schedule? You can argue the drops are kicking their ass, but this schedule has been brutal. No wonder they've lost 2 straight. | |
6. | Rams | -- | 9-4 | Imagine only scoring 3 points in a game. | |
7. | Colts | +1 | 9-4 | Kenny Moore is a player underrated by national media but massively valuable to the Colts. GM Chris Ballard made re-signing him a priority after his breakout 2018 season. Moore has been a reliable performer throughout his tenure as a Colt and added an exclamation point with his insane one-handed interception on Sunday. | |
8. | Titans | +1 | 9-4 | Derrick Henry had his second 200+ yard 2 TD game against the Jaguars on Sunday. The performance made Henry the 7th player to rush for 1,500+ yards and 14+ TDs through 13 games. | |
9. | Seahawks | +1 | 9-4 | Nothing cures | |
10. | Ravens | +2 | 8-5 | This ranker is a brown man, writing about how Lamar Jackson lost 20 pounds dropping some brown, dropping a TD to Brown, to go ahead against the Browns. They go for two. So in response, K-hunt ties the game, 42-42. In response, the Llama sets up the GOAT to nail a 54-yarder, 16th game winner of his career! To say nothing else of the game -- 9 total fucking rushing touchdowns, tying a record held since two defunct teams played each other before anyone on reddit was born... and Jackson runs for a MNF QB record 124 yards -- but still gets all the clutch plays done with his arm, with this middling group of receivers. The even greater news amidst all this is that the schedule doesn't look so bad in the closing stretch, and inspired play like this past Monday from the offense will ease the burden of the Ravens' gradually depleting secondary. Best wishes to Trace McSorely who made an extremely commendable effort to set them up for Lamar's return. | |
11. | Browns | -4 | 9-4 | Did you bet the over? The Browns and Ravens combined for 89 points in an absolute rollercoaster of a game. While they did not win, the Browns have shown they are contenders. With two games to go a real shot at the playoffs is on the table. The Browns will face the Giants in another prime time game. | |
12. | Buccaneers | -1 | 8-5 | The Buccaneers pulled off a 26-14 win over the Vikings, bringing their playoff chances to 94%. Vikes kicker Dan Bailey channeled his inner Gary Anderson to win the Bucs' game ball on an 0/3 kicking performance with an additional missed XP. Rookie Antoine Winfield Jr. played a disruptive game against his dad's former team and is looking like he has the potential to be one of the league's next great safeties. With only interim coaches to close out the remaining three games of the season, the Bucs should have smooth sailing into the Wild Card round. | |
13. | Dolphins | -- | 8-5 | There are no consolation prizes in the NFL, but a single score loss to the best team in the league while the backup waterboy is lining up in the slot is about as close to a one as you'll ever get. While he was able to pull off the win, even Patrick Mahomes couldn't keep this ball-hawking defense from getting a hold of the ball, often. And at some point, if people don't start talking about Xavien Howard in the DPOY conversation, he's just going to go intercept the damned award himself. Hopefully, the long, long list of injured Dolphins get well soon. | |
14. | Cardinals | +1 | 7-6 | A monster day from Haason Reddick and the defense finally put the Cardinals back on the winning track. Breaking a franchise record with 5 sacks was one thing, but getting all the turnovers was huge. Hopefully the offense feeds off of it and has a good week in preparing for a big game with Philly that has huge playoff implications. It will take a complete team effort to beat Philly with Jalen Hurts starting fresh of a win against the Saints. | |
15. | Raiders | -1 | 7-6 | The Raiders looked really bad against the Colts, just like they have for the better part of the last 6 weeks. Luckily Gruden finally made the call to fire Pauly G, something fans have been calling for for the past 2 seasons. Only time will tell if it's too little, too late. Every game from here on out is a must win if the Raiders want to make the playoffs. | |
16. | Washington FT | +3 | 6-7 | Washington is finding ways to win instead of finding ways to lose. The offense was not able to score a TD so the defense went ahead and spotted them 14 points. Chase Young notches his first TD and continues to prove his worth as the 2nd overall pick as a game wrecker. | |
17. | Vikings | -- | 6-7 | Dalvin Cook became the first back to rush for over 100 yards against the Bucs in over 20 games, but the Vikings were unable to convert long drives into points as Dan Bailey went 0/4 on field goals and extra points. Couple that with some questionable officiating, the Vikings' banged up front seven generating zero pressure on Tom Brady and plenty of self-inflicted wounds and it all adds up to a real tough loss that knocks the Vikings down from wild card favorites to playoff long shots. | |
18. | Bears | +5 | 6-7 | The Bears finally snapped their six-game losing streak by rolling over the Texans without much difficulty. Trubisky attempted one throw longer than 20 yards. | |
19. | Patriots | -3 | 6-7 | Los Angeles, is a land of contrasts - In a span of four days the Patriots' hopes for a postseason were revived and then unceremoniously squashed. Run Defense, Offensive Line, Cam and the Receivers, There just are too many holes to cover up with week to week coaching, this team needs some reworking over the offseason. The Pats end the season with the division as always, lets hope to fuck someone’s season or seeding up. And also the Jets. | |
20. | 49ers | -2 | 5-8 | The 49ers defense did their job, holding the Washington offense to a total of 9 points, but the offense had two takeaways brought back for touchdowns and could not recover. The team looks to right the ship this week against the Cowboys. | |
21. | Broncos | +5 | 5-8 | Drew Lock put up the third-highest passer rating in team history — behind a couple guys you may know. In the battle of 4-8's, the Broncos somehow managed to not blow a sizeable fourth-quarter lead and emerge victorious. Winning the game but losing The Hunt for a Better Draft Pick. Will the team remain in purgatory? Stay tuned. | |
22. | Giants | -2 | 5-8 | It’s a real joy to watch the rest of the teams in the up-for-grabs NFC East secure wins, with one being against a top-5 team, all while watching your team play so poorly they start setting franchise records. At least we can say the hype was fun while it lasted, right? | |
23. | Falcons | -1 | 4-9 | Outplayed by a team whose most impressive win is a tossup between the Bengals, Jaguars, and Jets? Check. Outcoached by special teams ace Anthony Lynn? Check. Ten point lead blown, two interceptions with under five minutes left, double check. Good thing age is just a number for the 32nd youngest team in the league. | |
24. | Panthers | -3 | 4-9 | I'm not sure where the Panthers go from here. Coach Rhule has said that he isn't going to do the team and fans a disservice by beginning to evaluate players, which means that we're going to see more of Teddy Bridgewater (who is 0-7 in one score games this season) crumble at the end of the game. Playing at Lambeau in primetime in December is one of the hardest things a team can do, and it's not going to be an easy test for the Panthers, who so far have shown that they can't win close games, nor can they defend the pass (23rd in passing defense). It's going to be tough sledding, but hopefully Jeremy Chinn can continue his torrid pace and run his way into DROY. | |
25. | Eagles | +3 | 4-8-1 | Jalen Hurts delivered the spark the Eagles needed to upset the Saints and spread 'quarterback controversy' all over the city of brotherly love. While the season remains a disappointment, the dual running threat of Hurts and Sanders could be interesting to watch going forward, and the NFC Least remains wide-open with 2 divisional games left on the 2020 menu. | |
26. | Lions | -1 | 5-8 | Even with a loss, Interim HC Darrell Bevell showed that his Lions are here to compete. This game was never out of hands, and the Lions kept it close the entire time. There are still plenty of woes on Defense, but the Offense continued to ball out as expected. With two TD's coming from the run game (Swift and Kerryon), there is already something to look forward to next year. Lately the team has been able to trust the run on short yardage and redzone carries and it has helped the team with consistency in the red zone. Unfortunately, Aaron Rodgers is a QB that can carve up a weak secondary... so that didn't go great. There's around a 1% chance of the Lions getting a playoff spot, not unheard of, but it'll be tough if Stafford's injury progresses and we lose him for the season. #DefendTheDen | |
27. | Chargers | -- | 4-9 | First of all, props to Falcons Twitter for this gem before the game, and it played out exactly as expected. Both teams did their best to try giving it away at the end, but the Chargers ended up on the winning side this time around. The Chargers had their hiccups again but there were improvements across the board; Justin Herbert's 81.8% completion percentage is his highest of the season, the defense came away with 3 INTs, and special teams probably had their best day. The Chargers get a short week before a Thursday Night tilt in Las Vegas. | |
28. | Texans | -4 | 4-9 | The Texans are lucky that Paxton is the Texas AG, otherwise they would have had the biggest blowout loss in the state this past week. | |
29. | Cowboys | -- | 4-9 | The Red Rifle won his revenge game, the defense forced multiple turnovers, and the Bengals were held to 3.4 yards per carry. All that, and the Cowboys still come out of the week with a top 5 draft pick. Honestly, Sunday couldn't have gone better. Now, the only question is whether this was the team turning the corner and the beginning of a strong finish to the season, or this was just a perfect moment of the Cowboys finding a shittier team with serious injuries issues and just doing what should happen in that scenario. | |
30. | Bengals | -- | 2-10-1 | Giovani Bernard hadn't fumbled since 2013 before his 1st quarter fumble on Sunday. So what does he get for his troubles? A spot on the bench thanks to Zac Taylor. Giovani was one of the only veterans who spoke out in behalf of Taylor and the current coaches when multiple articles were released with "sources" saying that Taylor had lost the locker room last month. You have to question the benching for multiple reasons as the directionless Bengals continue to flounder to blowout losses. Just another reason why this should be Zac Taylor's last season as head coach in Cincinnati. | |
31. | Jaguars | -- | 1-12 | This one felt more as expected. Perhaps it was in former GM Dave Caldwell's plans— no, wait, hear me out. Adjusting tinfoil hat; Based on the moves taken this offseason to seemingly dump talent from the Jaguars in attempt to amass more draft picks, perhaps the former front office of the Jaguars were banking on this season not being played, due to pandemic reasons. Sure, this may sound farfetched, but I'd like to hear a more reasonable explanation for fielding such a disaster as this team, this season. | |
32. | Jets | -- | 0-13 | The Jets have now scored on 7 consecutive opening drives, the longest streak in the NFL. After climbing to an early 3-0 lead, I watched Peter Sawkins make an excellent cranachan custard slice on The Great British Bake Off. |
2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 |
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N/A | N/A | N/A | N/R | N/R | N/R | 32 |
2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/R | N/R |
2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 70 |
2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/R | 18 |
2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/R | N/R | N/R |
2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | N/R | 84 | N/R | 28 | 31 | 13 |
2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 100 | 74 |
2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
32 | 93 | 23 | 8 | 2 | 21 | 17 |
2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/R | N/R | N/R | N/R | 60 | 24 | 100 |
2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/R | N/R | 97 |
# | Team | Δ | Record | Comment | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1. | Patriots | +1 | 8-1 | Big run from here on out after the bye, starting with the Eagles. The Patriots needed the R&R to get healthier and to make the adjustments needed in readying for the playoffs. | |
2. | Ravens | +2 | 7-2 | Lamar Jackson put himself at or near the front of the MVP race as the Ravens offense continues to dominate. Harbaugh and Roman have schemed the NFL's best offense by balancing the league's leading rushing attack with a passing game that uses all three TEs to much aplomb. The defense has moved past their early struggles with the addition of Marcus Peters and the return of Jimmy Smith; it now consistently gets pressure with a blitz heavy scheme. | |
3. | 49ers | -2 | 8-1 | In an instant MNF classic, the Niners dropped their first game of the season. Without his two top receiving threats, Jimmy G looked uncomfortable in the pocket and had trouble throwing anywhere more than five yards downfield. Three turnovers turned into the only three touchdowns by the Seahawks. The defense looked impressive, but the short fields and poor execution by the offense wasted their effort. The team looks to regroup on Sunday in a home match up against the Cardinals. | |
4. | Seahawks | +1 | 8-2 | Russell Wilson is now 13-3 in his career against | |
5. | Saints | -2 | 7-2 | The Saints under Sean Payton have always relied on a strong OL platform to run their offensive scheme. The Falcons came in with a plan to disrupt that blocking and reaped the rewards with a decisive win. | |
6. | Packers | +1 | 8-2 | The Packers got back into the groove with a home win over the Panthers. Turnovers and the fact that the Panthers defense couldn't find any solution for Aaron Jones were the main factors in this one. Aaron Jones splits time with Jamaal Williams, yet he was still exchanging the league lead for TDs with Christian McCaffrey throughout this game. Remember that name: Aaron Jones. | |
7. | Vikings | +1 | 7-3 | Even in primetime against a team with a winning record, Kirk Cousins continues to put up MVP numbers, and even across from Ezekiel Elliot, there was no doubt who was the best running back on Sunday night.. Danielle Hunter ranks first in the NFL in pressures generated while Everson Griffen ranks third, and though the secondary still struggles in coverage, Eric Kendricks leads all linebackers in pass breakups.. | |
8. | Chiefs | -2 | 6-4 | A triumphant game from the Mahomes-to-Hill combination still left the Chiefs on the wrong end of the scoreline on Sunday. Unfortunately, though the Chiefs are stacked with talent in some parts of the roster, inconsistent play in the trenches threatens to implode this team's playoff hopes. | |
9. | Texans | -- | 6-3 | Dolphins 16 - 12 Colts | |
10. | Cowboys | +1 | 5-4 | Like an annual ritual of an ancient cannibalistic tribe, the calls for Jason Garrett’s head have begun - and rightfully so. The inexplicable playcalling, ultra-conservative approach, and complete lack of in-game adjustments are hard to argue with. With a roster of this caliber, it’s hard to find fault in any area greater than the coaching. Heading into a slew of primetime games, the entire nation may get to witness the final fall of Garrett. | |
11. | Eagles | +3 | 5-4 | The Eagles had a bye week in advance of hosting New England next Sunday. | |
12. | Rams | -2 | 5-4 | With the season in a shambles, fans can spin the blame-o-meter and be happy with whatever space it lands on. Between McVay, Goff, the O-line, front office trades, and even the refs (at times), there's no shortage of awfulness to go around. It's not like the future is much brighter as the Rams' next first round pick is in 2022. Let the 8-8 McVay era begin. | |
13. | Bills | -1 | 6-3 | The Bills came into this week playing against the 30th ranked run defense in football. Offensive coordinator and certified genius Brian Daboll proceeded call a mere 13 runs while dialing up more than 40 passes. The highlight was when the offense fought back from 1st-and-25 just to huck a gimmicky, one-read deep ball into double coverage on 3rd-and-4 because Buffalo isn’t allowed to have nice things. As for the two missed field goals that would have given the Bills the win: one supposes that's the football gods' way of making up for the team's win in Tennessee. Buffalo's fate is still in their own hands, but there's a lot to clean up. | |
14. | Raiders | +2 | 5-4 | Chargers fans call Rivers "Dad", and following his stellar performance (2 ints, 1 TD, and a 3rd int called back) they are calling Erik Harris "Grandpa". After a coming out game for Clellin Ferrell the Raiders are now sitting just half a game back in the AFC west. The last half of the season is going to be fun to watch. | |
15. | Steelers | +3 | 5-4 | People will talk about Russell Wilson as the MVP because of the impact he has involving other players at the QB position, but isn't it noteworthy when a single defensive player can improve an entire defense himself without directly giving the ball to others? Whatever Minkah Fitzpatrick is, it's by far the biggest impact on the Steelers this year and the sole reason they have risen from mediocrity to respectability. Fans expect Lamar Jackson and Russell Wilson to change the face of an entire game (and they do), but there are a handful of defensive players every generation who do it, and it's usually a solo effort like Junior Seau. They don't often make everyone else better as well. If the Steelers actually turn this around and do something, it's because Fitzpatrick keeps it going. | |
16. | Colts | -3 | 5-4 | The wheels are off at this point. But even in the midst of this nightmare season, Colts fans can enjoy the incredible tracts of real estate we own in the minds of the small-team Texans supporters. Even their blurb up the thread only talks about us. Rent free! | |
17. | Panthers | -2 | 5-4 | News that Cam Newton's season is done has split the Panthers fanbase into two halves. The ones who want to roll with Kyle Allen are directly opposed to those who want Cam back in the fold for 2020. It remains to be seen which way the Panthers' front office will go. | |
18. | Titans | +4 | 5-5 | The Titans let Patrick Mahomes put up the most passing yards (446) by any QB in Nissan Stadium, but Tennessee was able to survive with a last-second FG block by Joshua Kalu. Derrick Henry continued his success against the Chiefs with 188 rushing yards and 2 TDs. Somehow, Andy Reid is now 1-8 against the Titans. | |
19. | Bears | +1 | 4-5 | When two bad teams play each other, technically the game must end in a result that changes the record of said teams after 60 minutes of playtime. Those rules were followed on Sunday, and there's not much fans can take away from the game except that it was nice to see the Bears beat a team they should beat. The Lions tried to avenge their loss to backup Chase Daniel last year by playing their own backup, but instead, they just lost. Maybe it was part of a deep state plan to keep Trubisky as starter, as The Onion suggested last weekend! | |
20. | Chargers | -2 | 4-6 | The major takeaway from this game should not be the supposed decline of Philip Rivers but rather the importance of offensive line play. The Chargers played much of the game with 3 backups on the OL and the unit as a whole played unacceptably bad, allowing a meager Raiders pass rush to tee off on Phil. In comparison, the Raiders' OL had a significantly better game against the Chargers pass rush. At 4-6 with an 0-2 divisional record, the Chargers have their work cut out for them, even if the Chiefs are only two games ahead. The Chargers must beat KC in Mexico City if they want to stay relevant in the postseason hunt. | |
21. | Lions | -4 | 3-5-1 | Many, perhaps most, Lions fans are ready to boot Patricia and Quinn. Maybe they are right, and it's time. However, it would be hard to argue that the Lions haven't been one of the most injury-affected teams this year, and when fans also consider that all but one loss has been extremely close, it's not so cut and dry. If they can finish strong (unlikely without Matthew, but who knows), it could reestablish some optimism for the future. | |
22. | Jaguars | -1 | 4-5 | Minshew Mania is over (for now). It's time to give Jason Mendoza what he wants. FOOOOLLLLEEEESSSSSS! | |
23. | Buccaneers | +2 | 3-6 | Bruce Arians coached with toddler-like petulance, throwing a challenge flag on a DPI he knew he'd lose, followed by a challenge flag he didn't have resulting in another lost timeout. Despite his infantile behavior, the Bucs managed to pull out a narrow victory over the Cardinals, bringing their record to 3-6. Rookies Jamel Dean and Devin White made a number of splash plays and Shaq Barrett continued his DPOY worthy campaign. This team is better than the record shows, but if my mother had wheels, she'd be a bicycle. | |
24. | Browns | +2 | 3-6 | Relying on your opponent to miss a field goal to win a game is not a viable long term strategy. The Browns won, but it wasn't for lack of effort. | |
25. | Cardinals | -2 | 3-6-1 | A dropped wide-open touchdown pass, a special teams mistake causing a six-point swing, and an untimely interception were too much for the Cardinals to overcome as they dropped their 3rd straight game. Aside from those mistakes, the defensive play has been absolutely atrocious. Sure, they caused some turnovers, but while the offense has been improving, the defense has been going in the opposite direction with the 2nd-most points and yards given up in the NFL. | |
26. | Broncos | -2 | 3-6 | Russell Wilson is dummy thicc. | |
27. | Falcons | +1 | 2-7 | Defensive play calling duties were split between Raheem Morris and Jeff Ulbrich for the first time this season, and what a game it was. Three of Atlanta's six sacks came on third down, which could potentially be a brand new sentence. Vic Beasley hasn't looked this youngry in years, and Drew Brees hasn't EVER scored fewer than double digits in the Superdome. Quinn made a great decision by taking himself out of the equation, falling faster from grace than any other coach in recent memory. Chase Young may be sitting in Flowery Branches' shopping cart at the moment, but no player will ever be good enough to make Atlanta want to lose to New Orleans. | |
28. | Dolphins | +3 | 2-7 | We're sorry to interrupt your previously scheduled documentary on armored military vehicles, but we've got news of a disturbance going on down in Miami. Pardon me sir, did you see what happened? Oh yes, they call it the streak. They claimed 'nother victory. They're just as proud as can be, of their abilities. They haven't yet peaked! | |
29. | Jets | +1 | 2-7 | The Jets' front 7 turned in one of their most dominating performances in recent memory by making contact with Saquon Barkley behind the line of scrimmage on almost every rushing attempt. The defensive gameplan forced the Giants' victory to fall squarely on the shoulders of Daniel Jones. Thanks in large part to the President impeaching the ball from him, Jones came up short. | |
30. | Giants | -3 | 2-8 | The Giants are now officially the #2 team in New Jersey, with Pat Shurmur having now added Adam Gase to his resume of coaches that out-coached him. John Mara is angry, but he might want to take a look in the mirror because he hired the front office team that got us into this position in the first place. Once a beacon of hope and, in all honesty, many fans' sole reason for watching Giants games, Saquon Barkley has not looked anything like his 2018 self this year. If he is truly healthy, as the Giants say he is, one has to wonder what is going on that keeps holding him back game in and game out. | |
31. | Redskins | -2 | 1-8 | The Redskins named Dwayne Haskins their starting QB for the remainder of the season, and fans are finally going to see the rookie QB get a chance to play and grow. Meanwhile, the race for last place and the first overall draft pick is heating up. | |
32. | Bengals | -- | 0-9 | If Mike Brown keeps getting rid of his scapegoats (Marvin Lewis, Andy Dalton), people are going to start to realize the real reason the Bengals are bad. He's an incompetent owner. |
submitted by CreateYoureReality to CreateYoureReality [link] [comments] https://preview.redd.it/rvtksaw21t841.jpg?width=698&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=95f40678737a0b6412efeddec62890674d6b9f4c NFL Regular Season Betting Recap Singles 134-141-3 (+12.57u) Parlays: 9-15 (+85.66u) Big Boy Daddy Long Shot 0-19 (-19.98u) Super Big Boy Daddy Long Shot: 0-15 (-7.5u) Teasers: 7-23 (-39.1u) Overall Bet Win/Loss: 150-213 Units Win/Loss: +31.65u ROI: 8.72% Thoughts: Honestly, I thought this season could have gone much better. Of course I am happy with a positive ROI and almost 9% is great but I want double digit ROIs. There are many lessons that I have learned this year that will go into my adjustments of how I make wagers. I am also grateful to collect a ton of notes from this years regular season that I will use as positive adjustments in my algo for next year. I still have the playoffs to push my ROI into the double digits. NBA was the same, went 2.6% ROI in the REG season, and almost 33% ROI in the playoffs to bring the whole season to double digits. Time to get to work on the NFL playoffs and make this double digi happen! https://preview.redd.it/mis03ly81t841.jpg?width=810&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=6ca4a87379c6397b507f1ba420b546baaf39f552 Saturday Games (AFC) Interesting note: Over the last 15 years in the playoffs, the spread didn't matter 82% of the time. If you picked the game winner, they covered over 82%. In the wild card round its 89%!!! Focus on finding the winner. Buffalo Bills at Houston Texans (-2.5): We have our first game of the weekend and it's the only game where the spread has moved through a key number. This started out as HOU -3 (-3.5 in some spots for a brief opening line) and has moved quickly to settle at -2.5. The other games have moved, but none through a key 3, 4, 6 or 7. My algo has this game as 22.5 BUF to 19.5 HOU. When you add in HFA it pushes this game close to a PK. A huge key for me in this game will be the health of Will Fuller. With him in the offense this year, the Texans are 8-3 and averaged 26 ppg. When he has been out they are 2-3 and average only 19.5 ppg. Houston took week 17 to rest key player. They will look to get a return performance from JJ Watt and hope to have Fuller in to give the offense some depth. Having one less reliable outlet for Watson could be a big piece against a very good Bills pass defense. On the Buffalo side of the ball they did lose their last game of the regular season, but they were looking ahead to this game, resting most of their key players for the week 17 game. I think this is a prime game for Singletary to show what he brings to the Bills offense as the TEX run D is one of the worst in the playoffs. I will also look to Beasly for a lot of check down and quick slant opportunities. Obviously most of these games can go either way. With the thought of defense is what wins in the playoffs, I am leaning with the algo and the Bills. I think this is one of the better games to put into a teaser. If you tease the Bills you get the number through the key 3, 4, 6, and 7 numbers. Plus, they Bills have only been defeated by more than a TD one time this season! Tennessee at New England (-5.5): This is a really fun one to cap. TEN has arguably been one of the best offenses since Tannehill took over. He is 1st in ypa, and passer rating and they have been putting up mad points behind the running game of Henry and the deep balls to AJ Brown who is averaging 20 yards per reception this season. On the flip side of their offensive play is the argument that they really haven't been tested against a good defense. The only decent D that Tannehill has faced since taking over is the road Saints, and that game script was more shootout heavy. The Pats are sporting top defensive numbers and only allow ~20ppg. However, if you dive deeper into those numbers... They went 8-0 in the first half of the season and allowed only 7.5 ppg. Over the last half of the season they are 4-4 and have allowed almost 29ppg!!! Oh boy... So, long story short I spent the last hour or so typing up my TEN/NE write up and I didn't notice my laptop became unplugged in the process. It eventually ran out of juice and crashed before I had updated my draft. I am not going to write it all out again, sorry. I will give a TLDR and you will have the bets I make as a guide for this one. TLDRetype: The weather channel coincidentally named the storm hitting NE tomorrow "Winter Storm Henry" That, the fact that Henry has been a Beast since Tannehill took over, and Draftkings offering an odds boost at 10-1 (from 5.5-1) for anyone to be the first TD scorer, has me looking his way. Edleman has battled some injuries the last month or so and because of that his targets total is at the good price of 5.5. He has been a reliable security blanket for Brady in the playoffs and looks good to return for this game. Sunday Games Minnesota at New Orleans (-7.5): Im sorry but after the Minnesota Miracle and then last years no call vs. the Rams....Does anyone else think this is just a year for the NFL to give the glory back to NO and have the lawsuit against them quietly go away??? Seems like a good reason for the Pats to not give a fuck in last weeks game... AGH, OK brain, I know its 3am and half of our article was written and then erased...but lets reign it in and get back to some logic over far fetched conspiracy theories. . . So I ended up going to sleep there. Probably a good thing, haha. Back to the game... One of the biggest factors in this game should be the losses of Mackenzie Alexander and Mike Hughes who are both ruled out for this game. This season, Alexander was the best performer of their corners and safetys. The others have been playing below league average. The Vikings do play extremely well vs TEs so that should limit the options for Brees which makes looking at his favorite target all the more appealing. His total is 8.5. This year he has hit 8 or more in 11 out of 16 games. In the 8 games since Brees has returned he has hit that total 5 of those 8. Out of the 3 he missed, one game was by 1 reception, and another game was a week 17 blowout vs. CAR when he wasn't needed but still managed 9 targets. As for the Vikings props Cook and Theilen have had the most rest recently and if the game script goes in the Saints favor, this could lead to many throwing opportunities for Cousins. Cook when healthy is a beast in all facets of the run game but is a huge help when it comes to the screen game. Overall, the Saints are wearing their white on white uni's of which they are 5-0 this year. Superstition dictates go with the white. :P ( https://saintswire.usatoday.com/2020/01/03/nfl-playoffs-wild-card-round-saints-vs-vikings-uniform-combination/ ) I will post all my props and picks for this game tomorrow by 2pm. Seattle at Philadelphia (+1.5): Didn't we just see this a few weeks ago? PHL hosting SEA, the line opened PHL as a slight favorite, moved through 0 and pushed up to almost 3 around game time. Then SEA came out and won 17-9? It's almost the same spot looking at it from the outside, but looking at how some of the available players for both teams have changed we see a potentially different story. First off, in that game SEA didnt do too much offensively. They essentially rode the back of Penny's 129 yards and a TD rushing on only 14 carries. Both Penny and Carson, the backs that the SEA offense has flowed through, are out for the season and the replacements are old or unknown. Dont get me wrong, I LOVE beastmode and want nothing more than for him to go all "put the team on his back" NSFW LINK, LANGUAGE WARNING ( https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gd_Vd43Vxa0 ) But to be honest, hes looking a little pudgy. Who knows, maybe his legs are still machines and his pudge will make him even harder to take down! All in all I think the Eagles D is a better match up for the other back, Homer, who is more reliable as a pass catching back. And to be honest, if SEA wants to win this game, I think they are going to have to unleash Wilson. They are going to have to let him be that special player that makes plays with his legs and his arm. Because of this I will most likely be targeting Lockett, Metcaf and maybe Hollister. On the PHL side all I am hearing is how they won 4 straight to make the playoffs and no one is giving them credit. Well...they won all 4 of those games against NFC east teams. Essentially the worst division this year and two of those games were against the same team. One of which they had to generate a huuuuge comeback in a game they were heavily favored. Also, they only made the playoffs because someone from each division has to represent...So how much love can we really give them for their 4 straight wins. So much of this game for the Eagles is going to depend on the injury reports. I am going to end the article here but wait to update tomorrow with injuries and props chosen for this game. Check back @ 2pm on Sunday. I have 35u of Bonus to use on from Wildcard Reload Promos and Refer-a-friend promos. Most likely won't use all this weekend, they are good for a month. Post Season Bets Singles(0-0)
Big Boy Daddy Long Shot (0-0)
I'm posting now so it's out with enough time for everyone to read and use. Check back in the comments if you want to follow along gametime parlays I make. Thanks for reading and good luck to all!! :D |
https://preview.redd.it/6z3pm7zaa3v31.jpg?width=1280&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=c0b4ba60258e70d1ea5457bcd2111b890f81fa60 submitted by CreateYoureReality to CreateYoureReality [link] [comments] Hi all! We have a wonderful Sunday slate ahead, first lets recap TNF. Singles: 3-0 (+9.78u) Parlay: 0-2 (-2u) BBDLS: none Teasers: none Notes: This was an amazing little set for us. We were able to go 3-0 and cash in on the Cook to score the first TD @ over +300. I added in those two late parlays with Washington either winning or covering 4.5. Honestly, even after watching the game, I still think plays on WAS were profitable. Before Keenum went down, WAS had a real shot in that game. On to this Sundays games! Early Games (1pm) New York @ Detroit (-6/6.5): To start the day, we have a battle of two sub .500 teams. The Giants are coming off a heart breaker (at least to me, haha) They allowed the Cardinals to come in and deliver an upset victory even though the Giants were coming off increased rest and had some key players returning. Detroit's season so far has been surrounded in a cloud of shit. Maybe the first game of the season should have been an indicator of how their season will play out. Look really good coming out of the gate, but overall fail to live up to the start. They will look to halt their recent stumbles against a Giants offence that has 18 turnovers (worst in the league!). On the flip side, the Giants will probably look to use the return of Saquan to exploit the Lions rush D that gives up an average 4.8 ypc (26th) and 140 ypg on ground (28th). Some notable injuries include: Sterling Shepherd is still out for the Giants, and Kerryon Johnson is out for the Lions after injuring his knee in the game last week against the Vikings. Another notable piece missing will be Quandre Diggs. The lions traded him to Seattle this week in exchange for a 2020 fifth-round pick. This game is going to be about the start. My algo is favoring DET by a TD, but DET hasn't beaten anyone yet by more than 3 points and with their recent struggles and poor run D... NY has the potential to get a lead and lean on their run game, I think a pure upset is possible here. Golden Tate is returning to Detroit and has been a steady look for Jones since his insertion into the Lions offense with a steady increase in targets. (week 5 (6) week 6 (9) week 7 (11)) Tampa Bay @ Tennessee (-2.5): Here we have the well rested Bucs coming off of a loss in London and then a bye week. While the Titans have had a small roller coaster over the last few weeks. They were sliding and ultimately replaced Mariota with Ryan Tannehill. The change of QB ignited a boost from the offense (putting up 400 last week) that was previously lacking in a downfield attack. Other than the Bucs missing TE OJ Howard, there aren't any serious, notable injuries. So, Tennessee does have Derrick Henry...but, the Bucs have a The BEST run D, giving up only 2.9 ypc and 68 ypg (1st in both!) However, the Bucs pass D is atrocious and overall the Bucs have given up 30+ points in EVERY game this year except one. Emotionally it feels like the Titans should be riding high. The change of QB sparked the offense, and the Titans D has made THREE goal line stands this year, in the final minute of games, for wins each time. The Titans D is also sporting a very respectable 16 ppg given up to opposing offense. (good for 4th in the league) The Algo has TB -1 here so its a very curious spread. Usually in these low spread coin flip spots I either stay away or play both sides in separate plays. Looking props, I would look to Cory Davis and AJ Brown (WRs for TEN) who with the QB change went for a combined 12 catches for 144 yards off only 15 targets last game...and this game they are facing the TB secondary that is giving up over 300 ypg in the air. L.A. Chargers @ Chicago (-3.5/-4): Here we have a classic battle of two teams who preseason were favorites to make the playoffs. Now, less than halfway through the season, it looks as if both teams will be looking ahead to next year. The Chargers are coming off a really tough loss to the Titans last week where it looked like the Chargers scored 3 times to win the game, but none of the attempts ended up counting. The Bears are coming off a blowout loss to the Saints (who were somehow underdogs even though they have been dominant) The Bears offense just doesn't have it. Mitch looks great when the opposing D drops into prevent and gives him time to find open guys...but other than that, he is really struggling. First let's look at notable injuries: LAC: Melvin Ingram (hamstring) is expected to return after missing the last three games and (LT) Russell Okung (pulmonary embolism) will make his season debut after experiencing major health issues during the off season. CHI: Chicago CB Sherrick McManis (concussion) likely will miss the game after being injured against the Saints. Alright, so if Mitch is going to get back on track and show his owners he deserves to stay on this team, the Chargers D is a good spot for him to do it. The Charges D is near the bottom in almost everything [Comp % (32nd), QBR (28th), YPA (29th)]. They only give up 216 ypg in the air., but that's only vs 185 attempts (3rd fewest in the league). On the other side, the Bears D is still pretty good in every category. They only falter in one, Completion Percentage (69%) which is 27th in the league. In props we are looking at both RBs for this game. Last week Eckler went: 7 rec, 118 yds and a TD and is tied for 3rd most receptions in the NFL! To add to that, the Bears have given up the 5th most yards to receiving backs. On the other side we have Cohen who gets a ton of opportunity for receptions. Note: Sooo, an interesting stat I came across: Betting the Chargers on the road vs. a team with a better win, would have you sitting at % 22-4 ATS, and if you had teased them you would be 26-0. This is the Chargers over the last 5 years Seattle @ Atlanta (+7): Soo, it is currently 2:30 pm on Saturday and as I am writing this, most of the online books here in NJ took this game down. The line was originally floating around 3.5/4, now it is only available at 7 on two sites. I am assuming this is because ATL activated their QB3 indicating Ryan has a great chance of being inactive. In injury news: " The Falcons cornerback Desmond Trufant will miss his third straight game with a toe injury. Rookie Kendall Sheffield will get the start in Trufant’s place. The Falcons will also be without guard James Carpenter (knee) and running back Ito Smith, who is in concussion protocol. For Seattle, defensive tackle Quinton Jefferson (oblique) and safety Delano Hill (elbow) have been declared out. The problem for the Seahawks is that they have six players listed as questionable, including recent acquire, Quandre Diggs. Lets start with the obvious, the Falcons D. Atlanta run D is actually pretty good, holding opposing RBs to under 4 ypc and 70 ypg. But, their secondary is trash, bottom of the league in almost everything: QBR 31st, ypg 28th, comp % 29th. The Seattle D is not the defense of old. They average giving up 25 ppg and 360 ypg. However, they are top 10 in takeaways this year with 12 and the ATL offense has 12 turnovers already. On the other side, even with losing to Baltimore last week, SEA O ranks in the top 10 in: qbr 2nd, ypg 10th, comp % 8th, and ypa. Going against that ATL D, the edge definitely sits with SEA. In props, the look is on Austin Hooper. He has had minimum 4 receptions per game, is averaging over 7, and should get an increase in his looks with ATL trading away their WR2 in Sanu. Denver @ Indianapolis (-4.5/-5): This is one of the most curious lines to me. The algo has the Colts at only -4. Public perception should have the colts at -7/7.5. Yet the line opened at 5, briefly moved up to 5.5 and has been slowly falling to 4.5. I feel like the Colts should rock this game, but the lines are red flagging me otherwise. Lets jump into the numbers. Other than Carl Davis, there are no real injuries to note. In terms of sacks, Brissett has been sacked only 7 times this year, while Flacco has been sacked a whopping 23 times! Even with the recent loss to the Chiefs, the Bronco's D is pretty stout, giving up only the 5th best passer rating and they are 3rd in pass ypg and 3rd in ypa giving up less than 200 pass ypg. The Indy D ranks 19th in rush yards allowed per game, 26th in Football Outsiders’ defensive DVOA metric and 28th and 30th in tackling and run defense respectively according to Pro Football Focus. But, the Bronco's offense sucks ranking 29th in ppg and 25th in ypg. Likely to give them less of an offensive threat is the trade of Emanuel Sanders to the 49ers. If I am going props in this game it would have to be Lindsey(Indy rush D is not that good) or Sutton (he is already the number 1, and the number 2 was traded away this week) Every time I review this game, the logic tells me that Indy should win and keep the train rolling. But something inside keeps screaming take Denver. Probably nothing, but Im gonna note it :P NY Jets @ Jacksonville (-6/-6.5/-7): A lot of lines available for this one, which is funny to me...as you'll see, I and my algo both favor the Jets. The Jets are coming off a sha-lacking vs. the Patriots where they were completely shut down. Jacksonville is coming off a 10 point win, but the game was much closer than the score shows with Jacksonville trailing into the 4th where they scored 18 points. Darnold had an issue with a toe, but it looks as if he as go. Other than that, there are 3 linebackers out for Jacksonville, and 1 possibly for NY. The Jets get to see the return of TE Herndon. As we all know, the Jax offense starts with their run game which is pretty good, gaining 5.1 ypc (3rd), and 140 ypg (5th). But, the strength of the Jets defense is their run D. They held pats to 2.2 ypc, and overall they only give up 3.3 ypc (2nd) and 92 ypg (11th) The Jets offense hasn't done much, but they have only started Darnold in 2 games (not including the Pats game because their D seems to be an outlier) and he is 1-1 and could quite easily be 2-0 in those games (losing the first one to the Bills comeback in week 1) It will be facing a Jax D that is pretty good. Their pass rush has a 30% pressure rate (6th), 21 sacks (4th), and a 9.2% knockdown rate (3rd). The algo has Jax @ -9/10 here. But does anyone really feel that confident laying a TD with Jax right now? Based upon the number match ups, this looks like it is going to be a grind of a game with both teams struggling for points. In those predicted under type games, I almost always favor the large amount of points. This is a game that deserves some underdog action. Philadelphia @ Buffalo (-2): The Eagles are coming off a big divisional loss to the Cowboys on Prime Time, while Buffalo is coming off a win, but a win they had to fight back to get. They were expected to easily handle the Dolphins last week but were taken by surprise as Miami took an early lead. They fought back to take the lead and held on by returning an onside kick for a TD. As usual, lets start with the injury report For the Eagles, everyone here is OUT:
Lets start with Philly. This is their fourth road game in five weeks and they have allowed an average of 31.5 ppg in all 4 road games. Their defense has given up 24 or more points in 6 of 7 games this year and the only game they didn't give up at least 24...was vs. the Jets with Luke Falk at QB. In all 4 of their losses they have had a turnover. Clean games have not been easy for them. They will be facing a Buffalo D that is top in the league. They only give up 15 ppg (3rd) under 300 ypg (3rd) and their pass d is top 5 in ypg, passer rating, completion % and ypa. Combine that with the NFL's seventh-ranked rushing attack (135.8 ypg) with Frank Gore gaining 4.5 ypc. However, Philly is known to stack the box and stop the run. They were gashed last week, but overall only give up 90 ypg on the ground so far. With Philly likely to stack the box and force Buffalo to throw, I will be looking at Brown and Beasly for props, going against a Philly secondary that is laughable. My only concern in this game is my algo has BUF -8.5 and the Vegas spread is WAYYY off from that. This may have me avoiding a side in singles when i would normally feel Buffalo here. Cincinatti @ LA Rams (-11.5/-12/-12.5): Curious that the spreads are all over the place. However, 11-13 are really dead numbers so not much info to be gained from the multiple spreads. Cincinati looks worse than MIA. They looked decent for 3 quarters last week, but just couldn't hold it together. The Rams took the opportunity to play the Atlanta D and easily hopped back on the win train. This game will be taking place in London. The Bengals arrived on Friday and the Rams spent the week in ATL after last weeks game, and flew to London on Thursday night. No real injuries that need to be talked about. There are a few players out for both sides but nothing should effect the game much. So the Rams D had 5 sacks last week and is 4th in the league in QB pressure. Cincy has already been sacked 24 times this year. The add on of Jaylen Ramsey saw immediate impact as he had 4 tackles and a forced fumble in his first game with the Rams. The Cincy D has allowed an average 102 QBR and 8.4 ypa. While the Rams offense scores 27 ppg (7th) and gains 372 ypg (12th). Another interesting stat: Cincinnati's minus-9 turnover differential is the third-worst in the NFL. The algo only has LA as -9.5/-10.5 so i will probably avoid spreads in this game. For an interesting prop look, check out Darrel Henderson. The RB2 is out and in a gamescript where the Rams are leading by more than a score, they might look to rest Gurley for more difficult situations. This may lead to increased looks for Henderson. Arizona @ New Orleans (-12/-12.5): Whoa! Big movement and big news. This line opened at 7.5 and has now moved all the way up to 12.5 in most books. This is in connection with the announcement that Brees will be returning this Sunday to lead his team into the bye week. 1st question... why? Bridgewater is 5-0 in his absence. They are facing what should be one of their easier opponents, and they head into a bye next week. Maybe they want Brees to see some game time speed, given it should be one of their easier games. This way he doesn't come out cold in two weeks... I dont know. Either way, it seems like a curious change to make. The Saints have Smith, Cook and Robinson out. While the Cardinals Allen and Foster with a whole list of questionable. The Saints D is amazing so far. Currently they haven't allowed more than 260 total yards in 4 straight games and they are 34% on 3rd down, and have 20 sacks (5th). In the first four games, Arizona allowed 20 sacks (all losses or tie) but in the last 3 (all wins) Murray has only been sacked a total of 3 times. My Algo had this only as NO -4.5. Now that Brees is in and the line has moved so much, this game may be an avoid game. In props, I may look to Murray's rush yards. He should be pressured a ton in this game, and when he is pressured he likes to move. Afternoon Games Oakland @ Houston (-6.5): Oakland is on their 5th straight road game and coming off a loss at GB. They actually had a chance in that game. Carr fumbled in the end zone and it caused a 14 point swing that took away any momentum Oakland had. The OAK D has given up 21 points in 5 straight games and the pass rush has only a 14 % pressure rate (32nd), a 19 % blitz rate (4th lowest) and 10 sacks (28th). If they dont get to the QB, it might be all Houston as Watson is 7-0 in games when he doesn't get sacked and he is sporting 8.3 ypa through the air this year. Along side him is a pretty solid run game lead by Carlos Hyde gaining an average 66 ypg, 4.2 ypc. With the Texans rush offense as a whole gaining 4.9 ypc (5th) and 134 ypg (8th). The Algo has this as Hou -9.5 so this actually makes me suspicious of the spread. Any bets in this game will come down to the start/sit of Josh Jacobs. Without the threat of him in the backfield, the Texans D will be able to drop extra men into coverage, but if he plays, I would look for a closer game that leans towards a shootout. Carolina @ San Francisco (-4.5/-5/-5.5): These next three are my most anticipated games of the slate. This game features the undefeated 49ers hosting the streaking Panthers. For Carolina, no notable injuries for this week. For the 49ers its the same as before. (FB) Kyle Juszczyk (knee), (OT) Mike McGlinchey (knee), and (OT) Joe Staley are all still out. So to start with we see Garoppolo is 5-0 with eight touchdowns and three interceptions in five home starts with San Francisco. They just added Emanuel Sanders to the roster which should ultimately boost their already good 7.9 ypa on offense. Garoppolo will be going against the Panthers’ secondary that was outstanding early in the season but has surrendered more than 350 yards in consecutive games. The SF rush D that has only allowed 4.1ypc (12th) and 90 ypg (7th) will have its hands full this week going up against Christian McCaffrey who has 923 yards rushing so far. An interesting stat that has me leaning Carolina in this one: CAR blitzes the fewest of any team in the league...YET, they lead the NFL in sacks. I will be shopping my line here and lean with the dog. Cleveland @ New England (-10/-10.5/-11): This is going to be a fun match up to watch. But it doesn't appear it will be a good game. There are no real injuries to note and you could make a case for CLE by saying they are coming off a bye and are desperate for a win vs. a NE team that is coming off a short week. But with my model, that doesn't appear to be the case. The Cleveland offense averages 231 ypg (16th) and 7.5 ypa (15th) but has 15 dropped passes (3rd )and 11 ints (32nd). They have 1 in every game... Also, Baker has turned the ball over 12 times this year (tied for the most in the NFL) going against a NE D that has 18 INTs right now. This looks like a game where the Patriots will utilize their mutli-headed run game as Cleveland has been gashed for 154.0 yard per game on the ground. The one shining light for the browns D is they have 19 sacks. However, 9 of those sacks have come from Myles Garret. Also, here is a video I came across where it is detailed how to disrupt the play of Baker Mayfield. I feel like if I can find this, so can the Patriots. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z4qlJE4DZsc Sunday Night Football Green Bay @ Kansas City(+4.5/+5): This one has the biggest line movement of the slate. Originally, it opened KC -4, since the Mahomes injury, it has moved to what it is now. The only other notable injury is DeVante Adams will still be out for GB. Starting for KC should be Matt Moore, who replaced PM during the Denver game. He did fairly well, coming in and going 10-19 117 yds, 1TD and a 90 QBR. KC last played on Thursday, so they had a few extra days to prepare for this one. I feel like with Matt Moore starting at QB, a lot of KC offensive stats are devalued. KC defense has 20 sacks (5th) and will be facing and offensive line in GB that has only give up 12 sacks. The packers rank 11th in offense but it has mostly been due to the passing game. They have failed to get more than 80 yards rushing in 4 of 7. They may look to turn that around this week against a poor KC run defense that gives up 5 ypc (30th) and 150 ypg (29th). I dont expect Matt Moore to have too difficult of a time. He still has a lot of star power on the offensive side of the ball and they will be facing a Green Bay defense that ranks 26th in total defense and has given up 420 or more total yards three times. However, the team is ninth in scoring defense with 13 takeaways. My algo had GB -2.5, before the PM adjustments. I dont think Moore deserves the 8-9 points Vegas is adjusting for, but even field goad pushes GB to -5.5. Overall for props the model is predicting both of GBs running backs to have increased opportunities on the ground and in the air. Singles 46-53-2 (+3.03u)
Parlays: 1-3 (+43.42u)
Thanks for reading. Good luck to all!! |
NFL Divisional Round Playoff Prop Bets. Another exciting playoff weekend ahead for all of us, with a lot of bigger spreads for the home teams this time around and the division winners ready to show why they got a bye week. Best futures bets for the 2020 NFL playoffs Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) celebrates with the Vince Lombardi Trophy after Super Bowl LIV win over the 49ers at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Feb. 2, 2020. NFL NFL Playoff Picks 2020: Odds, Prop Bets and Divisional-Round Predictions Joe Tansey @ JTansey90. Featured Columnist January 11, 2020 Comments. Stephen Brashear/Associated Press Vikings vs Saints Prop Bets & Score Predictions NFL 2020 Wild Card Game Minnesota Vikings vs. New Orleans Saints Betting Preview On paper, the New Orleans Saints (13-3 SU, 11-5 ATS) hosting NFL Playoffs NFL Playoff Picks 2020: Odds, Prop Bets, Predictions for Final Divisional Games Jake Rill Senior Analyst I January 12, 2020 Comments If an NFL club goes winless, “yes” gamblers on prop bets could earn a dozens-to-1 payoff for making an ugly-but-accurate season prediction. Prop Bets for Awards – The 2020 NFL Draft was noteworthy for prop bets on prohibitive favorites, such as Joe Burrow’s 1-to-a-billion payoff odds to go #1 overall. A great way to enhance the excitement of your viewing of Week 1 of the 2020 NFL season can be to get involved in prop bets, be that on lines available before or during the game. Each week, our NFL betting team will be providing you with our favorite prop bets of the week to help win you some cash. NFL playoff prop picks: Tom Brady, Russell Wilson, Derrick Henry and more best bets in wild-card round Dave Richard 1/8/2021 Freezer failure leads to middle-of-the-night vaccination rush; CDC The NFL Divisional Round features four exciting playoff games and numerous prop bets to wager on. Get latest odds and analysis for these NFL prop bets. January 8, 2020. They are going up against a Texans defense that allows 24.1 ppg and is near the bottom of the league in total yards allowed, rushing yards allowed and passing yards allowed Sunday NFL prop bets: Predictions for Packers vs. 49ers – NFC Championship Round in the 2020 NFL playoffs By Steven Inman | Better Collective for nj.com Covering all things sports and betting.
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There are only four Wild-Card games to go before the 2020 NFL playoffs and WSN.com’s weekly sports betting podcast is back with picks and Best Bets to help you win more money this weekend. 2020 NFL Draft Prop Bets Live Event Play Picks. Loading ... Who Made The NHL 24 Team Playoff ... The Dream Stream July 29, 2020 DraftKings 1,317 watching. Live now; 2020 NFL Draft Props: Wide ... Prop betting is often a very profitable way to bet the NFL playoffs, and this week there are 4 games going in the Divisional round. Professional handicapper ... 2020 NFL Predictions - AFC Win Totals, Odds, Playoff Picks, Prop BetsIn today's video Lukas and I go in depth on talking our 2020 NFL predictions. We give yo... ☝️Get premium sports picks for just $1.99! ⬇️ https://www.patreon.com/join/brockpage/checkout?rid=2608940 ️2 Premium Personal Plays Per Day + MORE:https://ww... NFL Live's Dan Orlovsky and Rob Ninkovich make their predictions for Saturday and Sunday's slate of NFL divisional-round playoff games, including Minnesota V... We're only 2 days away from the 2020 NFL Draft, so we jump in with our best NFL Draft prop bets, featuring Tua Tagovailoa, total Alabama players drafted, CeeDee Lamb, Justin Herbert, Jedrick Wills ...
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